My research on urban and transport modelling focusses on the development of Land-Use Transport-Interaction (LUTI) models, Demographic Forecasting models and Land Development models within the HARMONY Project.
HARMONY is an EU Horizon 2020 project that envisions a holistic approach for providing spatial and transport planning tools and evidence to metropolitan and regional authorities to lead a sustainable transition to a new mobility era.
UCL CASA led Work Package 4: Land-Use, Spatial Planning and Strategic Decisions.
We are developing spatial urban models for 3 case studies:
- Oxfordshire (UK)
- Turin (Italy)
- Athens (Greece)
LUTI models are cross-sectional spatial models that aim at capturing people flows among or within regions or metropolitan areas within different daily activities (like journey to work, retail centres, hospitals, schools etc.) and by different mode of transport (e.g. car, bus, rail etc.). Here is a paper containing more details on these LUTI models.
Demographic Forecasting models provide information regarding both aggregated and disaggregated future population projections within the study area and considering exogenous migration flows.
Land Development models consist of GIS layers that translate physical land development features into constraints and mathematical functions to provide accessibility and suitability indicators for spatial interaction applications.
This work will be published soon, in the meantime, have a look at this paper on the HARMONY Model Suite!